Stade Nyonnais 1-2 Aarau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.04
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
46%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.15
Over 2.5
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.95
2-3 Goals
34%
1.8
4-5 Goals
31%
2.88
6+ Goals
12%
8.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
28%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+4.5pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.4pp
46%
Away Win
55%
-8.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-1.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+1.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.6pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Nyonnais EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Aarau EU Bookmakers 60%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.04/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.82
+28% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
14.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
16.7 Crosses 12.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Nyonnais
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Aarau
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.47 xG 1.89
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
274 Passes 302
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 30
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2024 Aarau Aarau 1-0 HT 0-0 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
27.09.2024 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 1-2 HT 0-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
20.05.2024 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 4-3 HT 2-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
10.02.2024 Aarau Aarau 5-2 HT 3-0 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
12.11.2023 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 4-0 HT 1-0 Aarau Aarau İSV2
01.09.2023 Aarau Aarau 0-2 HT 0-0 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Nyonnais
1-2
AWAY Aarau
0.76 xG 1.79
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 14
240 Passes 453
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 56
10 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stade Nyonnais vs Aarau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarau squeezed past Stade Nyonnais 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aarau as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Stade Nyonnais had 38% of the ball to Aarau's 62%, shots finished 11-23, expected goals 0.76 to 1.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Stade Nyonnais and 1.83 for Aarau.

What was the final score of Stade Nyonnais vs Aarau?

Stade Nyonnais 1-2 Aarau in the Switzerland Challenge League on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Nyonnais vs Aarau?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Stade Nyonnais 26%, draw 28%, Aarau 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarau), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aarau) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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