Thun vs Vaduz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Thun v Vaduz — Team-Based Signals
Thun vs Vaduz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Vaduz
İSV2
1-1
HT 0-0
Thun
İSV2
Thun 3-1 Vaduz — Actual Match Statistics
Thun got the better of Vaduz 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Thun as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Thun had 35% of the ball to Vaduz's 65%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 2.38 to 0.72.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thun had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Thun and 1.33 for Vaduz.
What was the final score of Thun vs Vaduz?
Thun 3-1 Vaduz in the Switzerland Challenge League on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Thun vs Vaduz?
Before kick-off our model rated a Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Thun 48%, draw 22%, Vaduz 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thun), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.