Thun 6-3 Vaduz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 17 May 2024

Thun
6-3 HT 3-0
Vaduz
📅17/05/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.59
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.75
2-3 Goals
41%
2.04
4-5 Goals
24%
2.61
6+ Goals
11%
6.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
62%
-11.5pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.1pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.9pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thun EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Vaduz EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +13%
2.12/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.32
+18% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +33%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
19.5 Crosses 16.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thun
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Vaduz
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.44 xG 0.98
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
391 Passes 214
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
25 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2024 Vaduz Vaduz 1-0 HT 1-0 Thun Thun İSV2
29.10.2023 Thun Thun 2-1 HT 1-1 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
01.10.2023 Vaduz Vaduz 1-1 HT 0-0 Thun Thun İSV2
07.05.2023 Thun Thun 3-3 HT 3-2 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
12.02.2023 Vaduz Vaduz 0-3 HT 0-1 Thun Thun İSV2
26.11.2022 Thun Thun 1-1 HT 0-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thun
6-3
AWAY Vaduz
2.55 xG 1.50
39% Ball Possession 61%
21 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
263 Passes 454
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
27 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Thun vs Vaduz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thun swept aside Vaduz 6-3. Half-time: 3-0. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Thun as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 6-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Thun had 39% of the ball to Vaduz's 61%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 2.55 to 1.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thun had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Thun and 1.17 for Vaduz.

What was the final score of Thun vs Vaduz?

Thun 6-3 Vaduz in the Switzerland Challenge League on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thun vs Vaduz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Thun 51%, draw 24%, Vaduz 25%. The final score 6-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thun), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Thun) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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