Aarau 0-4 Wil 1900 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 17 May 2024

Aarau
0-4 HT 0-3
Wil 1900
📅17/05/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Switzerland Challenge League – 2023/2024

Aarau vs Wil 1900 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.95
2-3 Goals
39%
1.95
4-5 Goals
27%
2.78
6+ Goals
12%
7.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.0pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aarau v Wil 1900 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarau EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Wil 1900 EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
1.10/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.04
+22% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 74%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
17.3 Crosses 14.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Aarau vs Wil 1900 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarau
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Wil 1900
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.24 xG 1.82
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
319 Passes 291
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.02.2024 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 1-1 HT 0-0 Aarau Aarau İSV2
10.12.2023 Aarau Aarau 1-1 HT 1-0 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
29.09.2023 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 0-2 HT 0-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
05.05.2023 Aarau Aarau 0-0 HT 0-0 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
17.03.2023 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 0-3 HT 0-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
13.11.2022 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 6-1 HT 3-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2

Aarau 0-4 Wil 1900 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aarau
0-4
AWAY Wil 1900
0.71 xG 1.87
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 6
420 Passes 275
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 28
7 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Aarau vs Wil 1900
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wil 1900 ran out comfortable winners over Aarau 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Wil 1900 found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Aarau had 57% of the ball to Wil 1900's 43%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 0.71 to 1.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aarau had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Aarau and 1.33 for Wil 1900.

What was the final score of Aarau vs Wil 1900?

Aarau 0-4 Wil 1900 in the Switzerland Challenge League on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarau vs Wil 1900?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Aarau 37%, draw 28%, Wil 1900 35%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Aarau), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aarau) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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