Bellinzona 0-2 Sion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
27%
4.49
Away
53%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.18
Over 2.5
44%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
20%
2.99
6+ Goals
10%
9.18
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.25 — our 31% vs market 18.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
41%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+6.2pp
27%
Draw
19%
+8.2pp
53%
Away Win
67%
-14.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
42%
+14.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
58%
-14.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.5pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Sion EU Bookmakers 71%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.62/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/0.69
+13% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +36%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 82%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
18.7 Crosses 23.5
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bellinzona
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Sion
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.39 xG 1.29
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
360 Passes 317
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 15
9 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Sion Sion 3-0 HT 0-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
05.11.2023 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-2 HT 0-1 Sion Sion İSV2
04.08.2023 Sion Sion 1-0 HT 1-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
19.04.2011 Bellinzona Bellinzona 2-2 HT 2-2 Sion Sion İSV
12.02.2011 Sion Sion 1-0 HT 0-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV
26.09.2010 Sion Sion 1-1 HT 0-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bellinzona
0-2
AWAY Sion
0.53 xG 2.44
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
319 Passes 307
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bellinzona vs Sion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sion beat Bellinzona 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sion as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bellinzona had 51% of the ball to Sion's 49%, shots finished 5-9, expected goals 0.53 to 2.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sion led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bellinzona and 1.67 for Sion.

What was the final score of Bellinzona vs Sion?

Bellinzona 0-2 Sion in the Switzerland Challenge League on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bellinzona vs Sion?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sion win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Bellinzona 20%, draw 27%, Sion 53%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sion), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sion) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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