FC Schaffhausen 2-2 Baden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.47
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.95
4-5 Goals
24%
2.76
6+ Goals
10%
7.29
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.98 — our 27% vs market 15.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
64%
-4.1pp
18%
Draw
20%
-1.6pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.7pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Schaffhausen EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Baden EU Bookmakers 20%
+15% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.61/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.74
+18% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
8.0 Crosses 14.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Schaffhausen
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Baden
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.18 xG 0.89
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
289 Passes 400
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.02.2024 Baden Baden 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
08.12.2023 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 2-0 HT 2-0 Baden Baden İSV2
01.10.2023 Baden Baden 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Schaffhausen
2-2
AWAY Baden
1.94 xG 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
373 Passes 369
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Schaffhausen vs Baden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Schaffhausen and Baden shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had FC Schaffhausen at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Schaffhausen had 50% of the ball to Baden's 50%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.94 to 1.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, FC Schaffhausen had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Schaffhausen and 0.33 for Baden.

What was the final score of FC Schaffhausen vs Baden?

FC Schaffhausen 2-2 Baden in the Switzerland Challenge League on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Schaffhausen vs Baden?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Schaffhausen win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split FC Schaffhausen 60%, draw 18%, Baden 22%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Schaffhausen), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Schaffhausen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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