Wil 1900 1-1 Aarau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.92
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.16
6+ Goals
13%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.9pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wil 1900 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Aarau EU Bookmakers 37%
+9% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
1.38/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/2.17
+35% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
15.5 Crosses 18.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wil 1900
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Aarau
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.46 xG 1.47
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
281 Passes 297
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.12.2023 Aarau Aarau 1-1 HT 1-0 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
29.09.2023 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 0-2 HT 0-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
05.05.2023 Aarau Aarau 0-0 HT 0-0 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
17.03.2023 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 0-3 HT 0-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
13.11.2022 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 6-1 HT 3-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
03.09.2022 Aarau Aarau 2-1 HT 2-0 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wil 1900
1-1
AWAY Aarau
2.53 xG 0.78
47% Ball Possession 53%
28 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
312 Passes 363
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
40 Box Touches 24
31 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wil 1900 vs Aarau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wil 1900 and Aarau shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Wil 1900 had 47% of the ball to Aarau's 53%, shots finished 28-7, expected goals 2.53 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aarau led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Wil 1900 and 1.50 for Aarau.

What was the final score of Wil 1900 vs Aarau?

Wil 1900 1-1 Aarau in the Switzerland Challenge League on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wil 1900 vs Aarau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wil 1900 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Wil 1900 39%, draw 26%, Aarau 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wil 1900), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wil 1900) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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