Thun vs Vaduz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Thun v Vaduz — Team-Based Signals
Thun vs Vaduz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Vaduz
İSV2
1-1
HT 0-0
Thun
İSV2
3-3
HT 3-2
Vaduz
İSV2
0-3
HT 0-1
Thun
İSV2
Thun 2-0 Vaduz — Actual Match Statistics
Thun got the better of Vaduz 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Thun as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Thun had 43% of the ball to Vaduz's 57%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 1.45 to 1.23.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thun had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Thun and 1.50 for Vaduz.
What was the final score of Thun vs Vaduz?
Thun 2-0 Vaduz in the Switzerland Challenge League on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Thun vs Vaduz?
Before kick-off our model rated a Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Thun 55%, draw 24%, Vaduz 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thun) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.