Vaduz 2-0 Thun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 19 Oct 2024

Vaduz
2-0 HT 0-0
Thun
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.29
Over 2.5
48%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.5
No
51%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.77
2-3 Goals
37%
1.92
4-5 Goals
23%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
7.77
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.77 — our 29% vs market 16.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
40%
+12.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
60%
-12.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
62%
-13.2pp
51%
BTTS No
38%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vaduz EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Thun EU Bookmakers 49%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.55/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.70
+12% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +32%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
11.4 Crosses 16.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vaduz
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Thun
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.13 xG 1.66
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
287 Passes 336
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.07.2024 Thun Thun 2-0 HT 0-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
17.05.2024 Thun Thun 6-3 HT 3-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
01.04.2024 Vaduz Vaduz 1-0 HT 1-0 Thun Thun İSV2
29.10.2023 Thun Thun 2-1 HT 1-1 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
01.10.2023 Vaduz Vaduz 1-1 HT 0-0 Thun Thun İSV2
07.05.2023 Thun Thun 3-3 HT 3-2 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vaduz
2-0
AWAY Thun
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 10
POST-MATCH Vaduz vs Thun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vaduz saw off Thun 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Vaduz made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Vaduz had 39% of the ball to Thun's 61%, shots finished 8-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thun led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vaduz and 2.33 for Thun.

What was the final score of Vaduz vs Thun?

Vaduz 2-0 Thun in the Switzerland Challenge League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vaduz vs Thun?

Before kick-off our model rated an Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vaduz 34%, draw 27%, Thun 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Thun) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thun) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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