Stade Ouchy 1-1 Bellinzona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
3.27
6+ Goals
10%
11.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
46%
+4.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-3.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +4%
1.24/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.43
-16% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
16.0 Crosses 15.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Ouchy
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Bellinzona
2.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.39 xG 1.47
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
382 Passes 129
82% Pass Accuracy 60%
21 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.09.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 2-1 HT 1-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
27.05.2023 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 6-0 HT 3-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
05.03.2023 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-1 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
05.11.2022 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 2-1 HT 0-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
30.07.2022 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-4 HT 1-2 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Ouchy
1-1
AWAY Bellinzona
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Stade Ouchy vs Bellinzona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Ouchy and Bellinzona couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Stade Ouchy at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Stade Ouchy had 39% of the ball to Bellinzona's 61%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Stade Ouchy had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.80 goals for Stade Ouchy and 0.80 for Bellinzona.

What was the final score of Stade Ouchy vs Bellinzona?

Stade Ouchy 1-1 Bellinzona in the Switzerland Challenge League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Ouchy vs Bellinzona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Ouchy win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Stade Ouchy 51%, draw 25%, Bellinzona 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stade Ouchy), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stade Ouchy) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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