Neuchatel Xamax 1-2 Stade Ouchy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.5
No
34%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.22
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
2.78
6+ Goals
15%
7.89
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.78 — our 30% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-3.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.5pp
66%
BTTS Yes
62%
+3.1pp
34%
BTTS No
38%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neuchatel Xamax EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.88/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.87/1.03
+24% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 72%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
18.1 Crosses 14.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neuchatel Xamax
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Stade Ouchy
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.33 xG 0.81
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
273 Passes 443
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2024 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 1-2 HT 0-1 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
19.07.2024 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 3-2 HT 2-1 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
05.05.2023 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 2-0 HT 0-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
02.04.2023 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
11.11.2022 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 2-1 HT 1-1 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
03.09.2022 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 2-1 HT 1-1 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neuchatel Xamax
1-2
AWAY Stade Ouchy
0.51 xG 2.44
37% Ball Possession 63%
5 Total Shots 25
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
205 Passes 408
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 41
15 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Neuchatel Xamax vs Stade Ouchy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Ouchy edged past Neuchatel Xamax 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Stade Ouchy found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Neuchatel Xamax had 37% of the ball to Stade Ouchy's 63%, shots finished 5-25, expected goals 0.51 to 2.44 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Stade Ouchy's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neuchatel Xamax had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Neuchatel Xamax and 1.50 for Stade Ouchy.

What was the final score of Neuchatel Xamax vs Stade Ouchy?

Neuchatel Xamax 1-2 Stade Ouchy in the Switzerland Challenge League on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neuchatel Xamax vs Stade Ouchy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neuchatel Xamax win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Neuchatel Xamax 36%, draw 29%, Stade Ouchy 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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