Stade Ouchy 1-2 Neuchatel Xamax — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 29 Nov 2024

📅29/11/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
24%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.56
2-3 Goals
44%
1.89
4-5 Goals
22%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
7.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.2pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.6pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-3.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.7pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -8%
2.04/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.23
-6% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
18.8 Crosses 19.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Ouchy
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.56 xG 2.92
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
424 Passes 362
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
19.07.2024 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 3-2 HT 2-1 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
05.05.2023 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 2-0 HT 0-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
02.04.2023 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
11.11.2022 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 2-1 HT 1-1 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
03.09.2022 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 2-1 HT 1-1 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
06.05.2022 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 1-3 HT 1-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Ouchy
1-2
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
1.05 xG 1.73
69% Ball Possession 31%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 4
462 Passes 184
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 19
36 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Stade Ouchy vs Neuchatel Xamax
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neuchatel Xamax nicked a narrow win over Stade Ouchy 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Stade Ouchy at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Stade Ouchy had 69% of the ball to Neuchatel Xamax's 31%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.05 to 1.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neuchatel Xamax led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stade Ouchy and 1.67 for Neuchatel Xamax.

What was the final score of Stade Ouchy vs Neuchatel Xamax?

Stade Ouchy 1-2 Neuchatel Xamax in the Switzerland Challenge League on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Ouchy vs Neuchatel Xamax?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Ouchy win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Stade Ouchy 47%, draw 29%, Neuchatel Xamax 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stade Ouchy) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stade Ouchy) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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