Neuchatel Xamax 3-2 Stade Ouchy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 19 Jul 2024

📅19/07/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.34
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
8.92
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.34 — our 26% vs market 18.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.6pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neuchatel Xamax EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +17%
1.82/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.25
+6% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.7 Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neuchatel Xamax
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Stade Ouchy
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2023 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 2-0 HT 0-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
02.04.2023 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
11.11.2022 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 2-1 HT 1-1 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
03.09.2022 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 2-1 HT 1-1 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
06.05.2022 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 1-3 HT 1-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
18.02.2022 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 HT 1-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neuchatel Xamax
3-2
AWAY Stade Ouchy
2.92 xG 0.56
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
362 Passes 424
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Neuchatel Xamax vs Stade Ouchy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neuchatel Xamax edged past Stade Ouchy 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 37%) promised a tight game; Neuchatel Xamax found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Neuchatel Xamax had 46% of the ball to Stade Ouchy's 54%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 2.92 to 0.56 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Neuchatel Xamax's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Neuchatel Xamax and 1.33 for Stade Ouchy.

What was the final score of Neuchatel Xamax vs Stade Ouchy?

Neuchatel Xamax 3-2 Stade Ouchy in the Switzerland Challenge League on 19/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neuchatel Xamax vs Stade Ouchy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neuchatel Xamax win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Neuchatel Xamax 39%, draw 23%, Stade Ouchy 37%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSV2 More Switzerland Challenge League
19 Jul 2024
20:30 FC Schaffhausen vs Etoile Carouge Analysis →
21:15 Aarau vs Thun Analysis →