FC Schaffhausen 2-3 Etoile Carouge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 19 Jul 2024

📅19/07/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.23
6+ Goals
10%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.77 — our 28% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.3pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Schaffhausen EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 34%
+11% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-10% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
394 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.9 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Schaffhausen
2-3
AWAY Etoile Carouge
1.66 xG 1.51
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
302 Passes 460
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 29
10 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Schaffhausen vs Etoile Carouge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etoile Carouge nicked a narrow win over FC Schaffhausen 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FC Schaffhausen at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, FC Schaffhausen had 41% of the ball to Etoile Carouge's 59%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.66 to 1.51.

What was the final score of FC Schaffhausen vs Etoile Carouge?

FC Schaffhausen 2-3 Etoile Carouge in the Switzerland Challenge League on 19/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Schaffhausen vs Etoile Carouge?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Schaffhausen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Schaffhausen 42%, draw 28%, Etoile Carouge 30%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Schaffhausen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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