Stade Nyonnais vs Aarau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stade Nyonnais v Aarau — Team-Based Signals
Stade Nyonnais vs Aarau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 1-0
Aarau
İSV2
Stade Nyonnais 4-5 Aarau — Actual Match Statistics
Aarau nicked a narrow win over Stade Nyonnais 5-4 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Aarau as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-4 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Stade Nyonnais had 55% of the ball to Aarau's 45%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 2.08 to 2.02.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aarau led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Stade Nyonnais and 2.17 for Aarau.
What was the final score of Stade Nyonnais vs Aarau?
Stade Nyonnais 4-5 Aarau in the Switzerland Challenge League on 22/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stade Nyonnais vs Aarau?
Before kick-off our model rated an Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Stade Nyonnais 26%, draw 19%, Aarau 55%. The final score 4-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarau), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.