Neuchatel Xamax vs Etoile Carouge Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Neuchatel Xamax v Etoile Carouge — Team-Based Signals
Neuchatel Xamax vs Etoile Carouge Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Neuchatel Xamax 2-1 Etoile Carouge — Actual Match Statistics
Neuchatel Xamax edged past Etoile Carouge 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Neuchatel Xamax as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Neuchatel Xamax had 45% of the ball to Etoile Carouge's 55%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 2.80 to 0.13 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Neuchatel Xamax's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Etoile Carouge led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Neuchatel Xamax and 2.50 for Etoile Carouge.
What was the final score of Neuchatel Xamax vs Etoile Carouge?
Neuchatel Xamax 2-1 Etoile Carouge in the Switzerland Challenge League on 22/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Neuchatel Xamax vs Etoile Carouge?
Before kick-off our model rated a Neuchatel Xamax win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Neuchatel Xamax 48%, draw 26%, Etoile Carouge 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.