Neuchatel Xamax 1-2 Etoile Carouge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.08
2-3 Goals
37%
1.96
4-5 Goals
28%
2.6
6+ Goals
11%
6.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+2.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-4.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.6pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neuchatel Xamax EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 49%
-1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.49/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.24
+15% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +85%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 79%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
19.1 Crosses 13.9
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neuchatel Xamax
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Etoile Carouge
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.61 xG 1.77
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
412 Passes 332
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
07.02.2025 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 2-1 HT 1-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
18.10.2024 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 0-3 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV2
26.07.2024 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 3-1 HT 3-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neuchatel Xamax
1-2
AWAY Etoile Carouge
1.07 xG 1.66
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 1
448 Passes 409
89% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 17
10 Crosses 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Neuchatel Xamax vs Etoile Carouge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etoile Carouge squeezed past Neuchatel Xamax 2-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Etoile Carouge as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Neuchatel Xamax had 52% of the ball to Etoile Carouge's 48%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.07 to 1.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Etoile Carouge led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Neuchatel Xamax and 2.67 for Etoile Carouge.

What was the final score of Neuchatel Xamax vs Etoile Carouge?

Neuchatel Xamax 1-2 Etoile Carouge in the Switzerland Challenge League on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neuchatel Xamax vs Etoile Carouge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Etoile Carouge win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Neuchatel Xamax 33%, draw 26%, Etoile Carouge 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Etoile Carouge), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Etoile Carouge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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