Etoile Carouge 2-1 Neuchatel Xamax — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 7 Feb 2025

📅07/02/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.11
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
27%
2.81
6+ Goals
8%
8.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.3pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.5pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.3pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
2.00/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.22
-1% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
15.9 Crosses 18.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etoile Carouge
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.19 xG 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
315 Passes 514
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 29
3 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 5
18.10.2024 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 0-3 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV2
26.07.2024 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 3-1 HT 3-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Etoile Carouge
2-1
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
1.35 xG 1.23
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
349 Passes 309
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 27
8 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Etoile Carouge vs Neuchatel Xamax
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etoile Carouge edged past Neuchatel Xamax 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Etoile Carouge as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Etoile Carouge had 52% of the ball to Neuchatel Xamax's 48%, shots finished 16-19, expected goals 1.35 to 1.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Etoile Carouge had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Etoile Carouge and 0.50 for Neuchatel Xamax.

What was the final score of Etoile Carouge vs Neuchatel Xamax?

Etoile Carouge 2-1 Neuchatel Xamax in the Switzerland Challenge League on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Carouge vs Neuchatel Xamax?

Before kick-off our model rated a Etoile Carouge win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Etoile Carouge 44%, draw 28%, Neuchatel Xamax 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Etoile Carouge), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Etoile Carouge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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