Stade Ouchy vs Aarau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stade Ouchy v Aarau — Team-Based Signals
Stade Ouchy vs Aarau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-4
HT 1-3
Aarau
İSV2
2-3
HT 0-1
Stade Ouchy
İSV2
2-1
HT 1-0
Aarau
İSV2
3-3
HT 1-2
Stade Ouchy
İSV2
Stade Ouchy 2-4 Aarau — Actual Match Statistics
Aarau saw off Stade Ouchy 4-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Aarau found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Stade Ouchy had 42% of the ball to Aarau's 58%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 0.88 to 3.11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Stade Ouchy and 2.00 for Aarau.
What was the final score of Stade Ouchy vs Aarau?
Stade Ouchy 2-4 Aarau in the Switzerland Challenge League on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stade Ouchy vs Aarau?
Before kick-off our model rated an Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stade Ouchy 37%, draw 24%, Aarau 38%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarau), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.