Aarau 1-0 Stade Ouchy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
37%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.3
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.89
6+ Goals
12%
8.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
47%
-9.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
37%
Away Win
28%
+8.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.6pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarau EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.02/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.88
-20% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
340 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
15.8 Crosses 13.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarau
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Stade Ouchy
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.06 xG 1.83
52% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
235 Passes 362
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 21
7 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.08.2024 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 1-1 HT 1-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
08.04.2023 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 3-4 HT 1-3 Aarau Aarau İSV2
11.03.2023 Aarau Aarau 2-3 HT 0-1 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
28.10.2022 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 2-1 HT 1-0 Aarau Aarau İSV2
27.08.2022 Aarau Aarau 3-3 HT 1-2 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
09.05.2022 Aarau Aarau 2-1 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aarau
1-0
AWAY Stade Ouchy
1.19 xG 1.10
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
248 Passes 381
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
30 Box Touches 40
13 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aarau vs Stade Ouchy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarau nicked a narrow win over Stade Ouchy 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Aarau made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aarau had 42% of the ball to Stade Ouchy's 58%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.19 to 1.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Aarau and 2.17 for Stade Ouchy.

What was the final score of Aarau vs Stade Ouchy?

Aarau 1-0 Stade Ouchy in the Switzerland Challenge League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarau vs Stade Ouchy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Aarau 38%, draw 26%, Stade Ouchy 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarau) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aarau) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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