Stade Ouchy 1-1 Aarau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.93
4-5 Goals
25%
2.81
6+ Goals
12%
7.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.1pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Aarau EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -12%
1.45/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.83
-26% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
352 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 84%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
18.0 Crosses 13.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Ouchy
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Aarau
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.04.2023 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 3-4 HT 1-3 Aarau Aarau İSV2
11.03.2023 Aarau Aarau 2-3 HT 0-1 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
28.10.2022 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 2-1 HT 1-0 Aarau Aarau İSV2
27.08.2022 Aarau Aarau 3-3 HT 1-2 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
09.05.2022 Aarau Aarau 2-1 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
05.02.2022 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 2-5 HT 0-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Ouchy
1-1
AWAY Aarau
1.83 xG 1.06
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
362 Passes 235
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stade Ouchy vs Aarau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Ouchy and Aarau shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Stade Ouchy at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Stade Ouchy had 58% of the ball to Aarau's 42%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.83 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aarau led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Stade Ouchy and 2.83 for Aarau.

What was the final score of Stade Ouchy vs Aarau?

Stade Ouchy 1-1 Aarau in the Switzerland Challenge League on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Ouchy vs Aarau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Ouchy win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Stade Ouchy 46%, draw 28%, Aarau 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stade Ouchy), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stade Ouchy) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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