Neuchatel Xamax vs Bellinzona Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Neuchatel Xamax v Bellinzona — Team-Based Signals
Neuchatel Xamax vs Bellinzona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Neuchatel Xamax
İSV2
1-1
HT 1-0
Bellinzona
İSV2
1-1
HT 1-0
Neuchatel Xamax
İSV2
4-0
HT 3-0
Bellinzona
İSV2
Neuchatel Xamax 2-2 Bellinzona — Actual Match Statistics
Neuchatel Xamax and Bellinzona couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Neuchatel Xamax at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Neuchatel Xamax had 35% of the ball to Bellinzona's 65%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 1.20 to 1.22.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Neuchatel Xamax and 0.83 for Bellinzona.
What was the final score of Neuchatel Xamax vs Bellinzona?
Neuchatel Xamax 2-2 Bellinzona in the Switzerland Challenge League on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Neuchatel Xamax vs Bellinzona?
Before kick-off our model rated a Neuchatel Xamax win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Neuchatel Xamax 51%, draw 23%, Bellinzona 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.