Neuchatel Xamax 0-1 Bellinzona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 9 Feb 2024

Neuchatel Xamax
0-1 HT 0-1
Bellinzona
📅09/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Switzerland Challenge League – 2023/2024

Neuchatel Xamax vs Bellinzona Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.5
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.34
6+ Goals
10%
12.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-7.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Neuchatel Xamax v Bellinzona — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neuchatel Xamax EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +21%
1.72/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.18
-16% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 80%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
23.0 Crosses 13.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7

Neuchatel Xamax vs Bellinzona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neuchatel Xamax
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bellinzona
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.93 xG 0.77
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
402 Passes 300
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.12.2023 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-0 HT 0-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
01.09.2023 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 HT 1-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
19.03.2023 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-1 HT 1-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
07.10.2022 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 4-0 HT 3-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
27.08.2022 Bellinzona Bellinzona 3-1 HT 0-1 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
15.09.2019 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-2 HT 0-1 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSVK

Neuchatel Xamax 0-1 Bellinzona — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neuchatel Xamax
0-1
AWAY Bellinzona
1.85 xG 2.23
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
346 Passes 267
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 11
37 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Neuchatel Xamax vs Bellinzona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bellinzona squeezed past Neuchatel Xamax 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Neuchatel Xamax at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Neuchatel Xamax had 56% of the ball to Bellinzona's 44%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.85 to 2.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Neuchatel Xamax and 1.17 for Bellinzona.

What was the final score of Neuchatel Xamax vs Bellinzona?

Neuchatel Xamax 0-1 Bellinzona in the Switzerland Challenge League on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neuchatel Xamax vs Bellinzona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neuchatel Xamax win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Neuchatel Xamax 48%, draw 25%, Bellinzona 27%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSV2 More Switzerland Challenge League
9 Feb 2024
22:15 FC Schaffhausen vs Thun Analysis →
22:15 Sion vs Baden Analysis →