FC Schaffhausen 1-1 Thun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 9 Feb 2024

FC Schaffhausen
1-1 HT 1-1
Thun
📅09/02/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Switzerland Challenge League – 2023/2024

FC Schaffhausen vs Thun Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.32
6+ Goals
9%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 32% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-2.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.6pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Schaffhausen v Thun — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Schaffhausen EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Thun EU Bookmakers 49%
-1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
0.99/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.78
-9% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
14.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
15.6 Crosses 15.6
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

FC Schaffhausen vs Thun Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Schaffhausen
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Thun
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.22 xG 0.99
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
176 Passes 437
62% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 27
6 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Thun Thun 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
28.07.2023 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 0-1 HT 0-0 Thun Thun İSV2
27.05.2023 Thun Thun 2-3 HT 1-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
05.03.2023 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 0-5 HT 0-3 Thun Thun İSV2
11.11.2022 Thun Thun 2-1 HT 0-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
15.07.2022 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 1-0 HT 1-0 Thun Thun İSV2

FC Schaffhausen 1-1 Thun — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Schaffhausen
1-1
AWAY Thun
0.69 xG 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
256 Passes 396
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Schaffhausen vs Thun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Schaffhausen and Thun couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Thun at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, FC Schaffhausen had 42% of the ball to Thun's 58%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.69 to 1.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thun led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Schaffhausen and 1.83 for Thun.

What was the final score of FC Schaffhausen vs Thun?

FC Schaffhausen 1-1 Thun in the Switzerland Challenge League on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Schaffhausen vs Thun?

Before kick-off our model rated an Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Schaffhausen 33%, draw 24%, Thun 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Thun), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thun) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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