Bellinzona vs Neuchatel Xamax Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bellinzona v Neuchatel Xamax — Team-Based Signals
Bellinzona vs Neuchatel Xamax Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Neuchatel Xamax
İSV2
1-1
HT 1-0
Bellinzona
İSV2
1-1
HT 1-0
Neuchatel Xamax
İSV2
4-0
HT 3-0
Bellinzona
İSV2
3-1
HT 0-1
Neuchatel Xamax
İSV2
Bellinzona 1-2 Neuchatel Xamax — Actual Match Statistics
Neuchatel Xamax squeezed past Bellinzona 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (32% / 32% / 36%) promised a tight game; Neuchatel Xamax found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Bellinzona had 42% of the ball to Neuchatel Xamax's 58%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 0.43 to 1.77 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Neuchatel Xamax's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bellinzona had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bellinzona and 1.17 for Neuchatel Xamax.
What was the final score of Bellinzona vs Neuchatel Xamax?
Bellinzona 1-2 Neuchatel Xamax in the Switzerland Challenge League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bellinzona vs Neuchatel Xamax?
Before kick-off our model rated an Neuchatel Xamax win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Bellinzona 32%, draw 32%, Neuchatel Xamax 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.