Vaduz vs Aarau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vaduz v Aarau — Team-Based Signals
Vaduz vs Aarau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-2
Aarau
İSV2
3-2
HT 1-2
Vaduz
İSV2
0-1
HT 0-0
Aarau
İSV2
0-2
HT 0-0
Vaduz
İSV2
4-0
HT 4-0
Aarau
İSV2
Vaduz 2-1 Aarau — Actual Match Statistics
Vaduz nicked a narrow win over Aarau 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vaduz as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Vaduz had 54% of the ball to Aarau's 46%, shots finished 16-20, expected goals 1.47 to 2.05 — the balance of chances actually favoured Aarau.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aarau led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Vaduz and 1.17 for Aarau.
What was the final score of Vaduz vs Aarau?
Vaduz 2-1 Aarau in the Switzerland Challenge League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vaduz vs Aarau?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vaduz win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Vaduz 46%, draw 26%, Aarau 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vaduz), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.