Bellinzona vs Vaduz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bellinzona v Vaduz — Team-Based Signals
Bellinzona vs Vaduz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Bellinzona
İSV2
0-4
HT 0-1
Vaduz
İSV2
1-6
HT 0-4
Vaduz
İSV2
Bellinzona 1-2 Vaduz — Actual Match Statistics
Vaduz squeezed past Bellinzona 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Vaduz found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Bellinzona had 58% of the ball to Vaduz's 42%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.26 to 1.09.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vaduz led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bellinzona and 2.67 for Vaduz.
What was the final score of Bellinzona vs Vaduz?
Bellinzona 1-2 Vaduz in the Switzerland Challenge League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bellinzona vs Vaduz?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bellinzona win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bellinzona 40%, draw 24%, Vaduz 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.