Vaduz 2-1 Bellinzona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 29 Sep 2024

Vaduz
2-1 HT 2-0
Bellinzona
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Switzerland Challenge League – 2024/2025

Vaduz vs Bellinzona Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.34
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.97
6+ Goals
13%
8.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
61%
-0.0pp
39%
BTTS No
39%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vaduz v Bellinzona — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vaduz EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.54/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.86
+17% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +108%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
14.9 Crosses 14.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.6

Vaduz vs Bellinzona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vaduz
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Bellinzona
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.65 xG 0.98
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
279 Passes 267
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.05.2024 Vaduz Vaduz 2-2 HT 0-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
28.02.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-1 HT 0-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
17.12.2023 Vaduz Vaduz 1-2 HT 0-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
22.09.2023 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-4 HT 0-1 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
16.04.2023 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-6 HT 0-4 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
12.03.2023 Vaduz Vaduz 2-1 HT 0-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2

Vaduz 2-1 Bellinzona — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vaduz
2-1
AWAY Bellinzona
2.54 xG 0.96
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
230 Passes 340
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vaduz vs Bellinzona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vaduz edged past Bellinzona 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Vaduz made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Vaduz had 42% of the ball to Bellinzona's 58%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 2.54 to 0.96 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Vaduz's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vaduz had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Vaduz and 1.00 for Bellinzona.

What was the final score of Vaduz vs Bellinzona?

Vaduz 2-1 Bellinzona in the Switzerland Challenge League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vaduz vs Bellinzona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vaduz win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Vaduz 37%, draw 26%, Bellinzona 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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