Vaduz 2-2 Bellinzona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 20 May 2024

Vaduz
2-2 HT 0-1
Bellinzona
📅20/05/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Switzerland Challenge League – 2023/2024

Vaduz vs Bellinzona Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.48
2-3 Goals
37%
2.01
4-5 Goals
26%
2.66
6+ Goals
13%
6.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-12.6pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vaduz v Bellinzona — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vaduz EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 28%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +17%
2.46/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.20
+49% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 82%
34.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
21.6 Crosses 15.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6

Vaduz vs Bellinzona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vaduz
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Bellinzona
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.06 xG 0.69
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
217 Passes 283
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.02.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-1 HT 0-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
17.12.2023 Vaduz Vaduz 1-2 HT 0-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
22.09.2023 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-4 HT 0-1 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
16.04.2023 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-6 HT 0-4 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
12.03.2023 Vaduz Vaduz 2-1 HT 0-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
30.10.2022 Bellinzona Bellinzona 2-0 HT 2-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2

Vaduz 2-2 Bellinzona — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vaduz
2-2
AWAY Bellinzona
2.84 xG 1.54
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 2
466 Passes 219
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vaduz vs Bellinzona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vaduz and Bellinzona couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vaduz at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Vaduz had 65% of the ball to Bellinzona's 35%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 2.84 to 1.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vaduz had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Vaduz and 1.00 for Bellinzona.

What was the final score of Vaduz vs Bellinzona?

Vaduz 2-2 Bellinzona in the Switzerland Challenge League on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vaduz vs Bellinzona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vaduz win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Vaduz 48%, draw 25%, Bellinzona 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vaduz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vaduz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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