Wil 1900 0-3 Thun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 20 May 2024

Wil 1900
0-3 HT 0-0
Thun
📅20/05/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Switzerland Challenge League – 2023/2024

Wil 1900 vs Thun Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.59
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.41
No
46%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.79
2-3 Goals
39%
2.04
4-5 Goals
25%
2.61
6+ Goals
12%
6.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+13.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-13.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
67%
-13.0pp
46%
BTTS No
33%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wil 1900 v Thun — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wil 1900 EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Thun EU Bookmakers 36%
+11% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -15%
1.20/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.41
+4% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.8
17.3 Crosses 21.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9

Wil 1900 vs Thun Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wil 1900
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Thun
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.83 xG 1.37
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
351 Passes 263
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
09.03.2024 Thun Thun 2-1 HT 0-1 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
20.10.2023 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 0-3 HT 0-1 Thun Thun İSV2
02.09.2023 Thun Thun 3-1 HT 1-0 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
08.04.2023 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 1-2 HT 1-1 Thun Thun İSV2
12.03.2023 Thun Thun 1-1 HT 1-1 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
04.11.2022 Thun Thun 1-3 HT 0-1 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2

Wil 1900 0-3 Thun — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wil 1900
0-3
AWAY Thun
0.88 xG 1.11
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
417 Passes 287
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 12
POST-MATCH Wil 1900 vs Thun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thun ran out comfortable winners over Wil 1900 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Wil 1900 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Wil 1900 had 57% of the ball to Thun's 43%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 0.88 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thun led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Wil 1900 and 2.00 for Thun.

What was the final score of Wil 1900 vs Thun?

Wil 1900 0-3 Thun in the Switzerland Challenge League on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wil 1900 vs Thun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wil 1900 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Wil 1900 42%, draw 26%, Thun 32%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Wil 1900), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wil 1900) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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