Thun 2-1 Wil 1900 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.73
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.26
6+ Goals
11%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 24% vs market 21.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.4pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thun EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Wil 1900 EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +17%
2.60/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.33
-13% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
358 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 75%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
16.8 Crosses 17.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thun
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Wil 1900
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.54 xG 0.77
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
239 Passes 364
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2023 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 0-3 HT 0-1 Thun Thun İSV2
02.09.2023 Thun Thun 3-1 HT 1-0 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
08.04.2023 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 1-2 HT 1-1 Thun Thun İSV2
12.03.2023 Thun Thun 1-1 HT 1-1 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
04.11.2022 Thun Thun 1-3 HT 0-1 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
26.08.2022 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 1-1 HT 1-0 Thun Thun İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thun
2-1
AWAY Wil 1900
1.03 xG 0.94
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 8
312 Passes 324
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 35
26 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Thun vs Wil 1900
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thun nicked a narrow win over Wil 1900 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Thun as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Thun had 48% of the ball to Wil 1900's 52%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 1.03 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thun had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Thun and 1.17 for Wil 1900.

What was the final score of Thun vs Wil 1900?

Thun 2-1 Wil 1900 in the Switzerland Challenge League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thun vs Wil 1900?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Thun 47%, draw 26%, Wil 1900 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thun) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Thun) ✗ BTTS No
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