Bellinzona 0-2 Stade Nyonnais — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 9 Mar 2024

Bellinzona
0-2 HT 0-1
Stade Nyonnais
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Switzerland Challenge League – 2023/2024

Bellinzona vs Stade Nyonnais Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.01
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.88
6+ Goals
11%
17.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 29% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.7pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.5pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bellinzona v Stade Nyonnais — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Nyonnais EU Bookmakers 37%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.14/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.00
-59% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
367 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 83%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
20.4 Crosses 23.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.9

Bellinzona vs Stade Nyonnais Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bellinzona
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.52 xG 1.52
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
228 Passes 332
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.10.2023 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 2-3 HT 0-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
01.10.2023 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-0 HT 0-0 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
04.06.2022 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 1-2 HT 1-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV1Y
06.11.2021 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 4-1 HT 1-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV1Y
26.09.2020 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 1-1 HT 0-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV1Y

Bellinzona 0-2 Stade Nyonnais — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bellinzona
0-2
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
0.41 xG 3.30
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 5
341 Passes 195
78% Pass Accuracy 62%
15 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bellinzona vs Stade Nyonnais
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Nyonnais beat Bellinzona 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Stade Nyonnais found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Bellinzona had 58% of the ball to Stade Nyonnais's 42%, shots finished 10-20, expected goals 0.41 to 3.30.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bellinzona had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Bellinzona and 1.60 for Stade Nyonnais.

What was the final score of Bellinzona vs Stade Nyonnais?

Bellinzona 0-2 Stade Nyonnais in the Switzerland Challenge League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bellinzona vs Stade Nyonnais?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bellinzona win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bellinzona 38%, draw 24%, Stade Nyonnais 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bellinzona) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bellinzona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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