Etoile Carouge 3-1 Neuchatel Xamax — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.99
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.12
6+ Goals
10%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+4.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.4pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / +1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
Crosses 22.8
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Etoile Carouge
3-1
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
2.19 xG 2.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 8
315 Passes 514
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 29
3 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Etoile Carouge vs Neuchatel Xamax
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etoile Carouge saw off Neuchatel Xamax 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Etoile Carouge as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Etoile Carouge had 39% of the ball to Neuchatel Xamax's 61%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 2.19 to 2.00.

What was the final score of Etoile Carouge vs Neuchatel Xamax?

Etoile Carouge 3-1 Neuchatel Xamax in the Switzerland Challenge League on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Carouge vs Neuchatel Xamax?

Before kick-off our model rated a Etoile Carouge win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Etoile Carouge 43%, draw 24%, Neuchatel Xamax 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Etoile Carouge), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Etoile Carouge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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