Stade Nyonnais 2-1 Bellinzona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.48
2-3 Goals
34%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.43
6+ Goals
16%
12.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.7pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Nyonnais EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.82/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.03
+18% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
21.4 Crosses 16.2
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Nyonnais
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Bellinzona
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.04 xG 1.27
52% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 Passes 259
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.05.2024 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 1-3 HT 1-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
09.03.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-2 HT 0-1 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
27.10.2023 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 2-3 HT 0-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
01.10.2023 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-0 HT 0-0 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
04.06.2022 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 1-2 HT 1-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV1Y
06.11.2021 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 4-1 HT 1-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Nyonnais
2-1
AWAY Bellinzona
2.72 xG 1.55
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
348 Passes 288
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stade Nyonnais vs Bellinzona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Nyonnais squeezed past Bellinzona 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Stade Nyonnais as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Stade Nyonnais had 54% of the ball to Bellinzona's 46%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 2.72 to 1.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bellinzona led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Stade Nyonnais and 1.67 for Bellinzona.

What was the final score of Stade Nyonnais vs Bellinzona?

Stade Nyonnais 2-1 Bellinzona in the Switzerland Challenge League on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Nyonnais vs Bellinzona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Nyonnais win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Stade Nyonnais 42%, draw 28%, Bellinzona 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Nyonnais), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stade Nyonnais) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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