Stade Nyonnais 1-3 Bellinzona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 9 May 2024

📅09/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.55
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.38
6+ Goals
9%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.55 — our 31% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-9.3pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.6pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.8pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Nyonnais EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 29%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.32/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.10
-37% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
22.7 Crosses 15.4
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Nyonnais
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bellinzona
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.12 xG 1.15
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
286 Passes 266
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-2 HT 0-1 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
27.10.2023 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 2-3 HT 0-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
01.10.2023 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-0 HT 0-0 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
04.06.2022 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 1-2 HT 1-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV1Y
06.11.2021 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 4-1 HT 1-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV1Y
26.09.2020 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 1-1 HT 0-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Nyonnais
1-3
AWAY Bellinzona
1.80 xG 1.63
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
428 Passes 237
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stade Nyonnais vs Bellinzona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bellinzona saw off Stade Nyonnais 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Bellinzona found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stade Nyonnais had 62% of the ball to Bellinzona's 38%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.80 to 1.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bellinzona led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Stade Nyonnais and 1.33 for Bellinzona.

What was the final score of Stade Nyonnais vs Bellinzona?

Stade Nyonnais 1-3 Bellinzona in the Switzerland Challenge League on 09/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Nyonnais vs Bellinzona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Nyonnais win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Stade Nyonnais 39%, draw 30%, Bellinzona 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stade Nyonnais) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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