Aarau 2-4 Wil 1900 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.51
2-3 Goals
38%
2.02
4-5 Goals
27%
2.53
6+ Goals
14%
5.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-10.4pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.1pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.7pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarau EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Wil 1900 EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +9%
1.82/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.53
-9% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
14.6 Crosses 12.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarau
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Wil 1900
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.17 xG 1.78
50% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
325 Passes 312
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2025 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 2-2 HT 0-2 Aarau Aarau İSV2
24.11.2024 Aarau Aarau 1-1 HT 0-1 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
26.07.2024 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 2-2 HT 2-0 Aarau Aarau İSV2
17.05.2024 Aarau Aarau 0-4 HT 0-3 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
23.02.2024 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 1-1 HT 0-0 Aarau Aarau İSV2
10.12.2023 Aarau Aarau 1-1 HT 1-0 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aarau
2-4
AWAY Wil 1900
0.85 xG 2.44
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 4
299 Passes 249
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 24
7 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aarau vs Wil 1900
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wil 1900 saw off Aarau 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Aarau at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Aarau had 54% of the ball to Wil 1900's 46%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 0.85 to 2.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wil 1900 led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aarau and 1.83 for Wil 1900.

What was the final score of Aarau vs Wil 1900?

Aarau 2-4 Wil 1900 in the Switzerland Challenge League on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarau vs Wil 1900?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Aarau 52%, draw 23%, Wil 1900 25%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aarau) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aarau) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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