Wil 1900 vs Aarau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Wil 1900 v Aarau — Team-Based Signals
Wil 1900 vs Aarau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Wil 1900
İSV2
0-2
HT 0-1
Aarau
İSV2
Wil 1900 2-2 Aarau — Actual Match Statistics
Wil 1900 and Aarau couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Aarau at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Wil 1900 had 57% of the ball to Aarau's 43%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.73 to 0.83.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Wil 1900 and 1.17 for Aarau.
What was the final score of Wil 1900 vs Aarau?
Wil 1900 2-2 Aarau in the Switzerland Challenge League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Wil 1900 vs Aarau?
Before kick-off our model rated an Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Wil 1900 29%, draw 30%, Aarau 41%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.