Vaduz 3-1 Bellinzona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.92
2-3 Goals
36%
1.72
4-5 Goals
25%
3.58
6+ Goals
11%
15.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.3pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vaduz EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 40%
+12% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.59/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.39
+18% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
14.3 Crosses 18.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vaduz
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Bellinzona
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.72 xG 1.03
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
259 Passes 288
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.12.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-2 HT 1-1 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
29.09.2024 Vaduz Vaduz 2-1 HT 2-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
20.05.2024 Vaduz Vaduz 2-2 HT 0-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
28.02.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-1 HT 0-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
17.12.2023 Vaduz Vaduz 1-2 HT 0-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
22.09.2023 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-4 HT 0-1 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vaduz
3-1
AWAY Bellinzona
1.23 xG 2.43
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
311 Passes 278
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vaduz vs Bellinzona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vaduz beat Bellinzona 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Vaduz made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Vaduz had 52% of the ball to Bellinzona's 48%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 1.23 to 2.43 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bellinzona.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vaduz had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Vaduz and 1.00 for Bellinzona.

What was the final score of Vaduz vs Bellinzona?

Vaduz 3-1 Bellinzona in the Switzerland Challenge League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vaduz vs Bellinzona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vaduz win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vaduz 39%, draw 25%, Bellinzona 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vaduz), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vaduz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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