Aarau 1-1 Wil 1900 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 24 Nov 2024

Aarau
1-1 HT 0-1
Wil 1900
📅24/11/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Switzerland Challenge League – 2024/2025

Aarau vs Wil 1900 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
32%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.78
2-3 Goals
44%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.29
6+ Goals
9%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.78 — our 26% vs market 21.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
54%
-13.9pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
32%
Away Win
22%
+9.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aarau v Wil 1900 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarau EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Wil 1900 EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +6%
1.82/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.06
-12% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
17.0 Crosses 15.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Aarau vs Wil 1900 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarau
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Wil 1900
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.20 xG 1.91
50% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
320 Passes 307
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.07.2024 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 2-2 HT 2-0 Aarau Aarau İSV2
17.05.2024 Aarau Aarau 0-4 HT 0-3 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
23.02.2024 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 1-1 HT 0-0 Aarau Aarau İSV2
10.12.2023 Aarau Aarau 1-1 HT 1-0 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
29.09.2023 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 0-2 HT 0-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
05.05.2023 Aarau Aarau 0-0 HT 0-0 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2

Aarau 1-1 Wil 1900 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aarau
1-1
AWAY Wil 1900
2.24 xG 2.28
61% Ball Possession 39%
23 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 1
353 Passes 186
75% Pass Accuracy 61%
49 Box Touches 12
31 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Aarau vs Wil 1900
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarau and Wil 1900 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Aarau had 61% of the ball to Wil 1900's 39%, shots finished 23-10, expected goals 2.24 to 2.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aarau and 1.33 for Wil 1900.

What was the final score of Aarau vs Wil 1900?

Aarau 1-1 Wil 1900 in the Switzerland Challenge League on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarau vs Wil 1900?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Aarau 40%, draw 29%, Wil 1900 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aarau) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aarau) ✓ BTTS Yes
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