Rapperswil-Jona 1-2 Stade Ouchy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 22 Aug 2025

📅22/08/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
43%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.76
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
9.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 30% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-1.2pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.8pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-3.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rapperswil-Jona EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 50%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
0.87/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/0.95
-77% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 81%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.1
21.0 Crosses 21.5
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
POST-MATCH Rapperswil-Jona vs Stade Ouchy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Ouchy squeezed past Rapperswil-Jona 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stade Ouchy as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Rapperswil-Jona vs Stade Ouchy?

Rapperswil-Jona 1-2 Stade Ouchy in the Switzerland Challenge League on 22/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rapperswil-Jona vs Stade Ouchy?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stade Ouchy win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rapperswil-Jona 28%, draw 29%, Stade Ouchy 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Ouchy), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stade Ouchy) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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