Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aarau v Stade Nyonnais — Team-Based Signals
Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Aarau 0-1 Stade Nyonnais — Actual Match Statistics
Stade Nyonnais edged past Aarau 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
This one beat our numbers. Aarau carried 69% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Aarau had 51% of the ball to Stade Nyonnais's 49%, shots finished 21-14, expected goals 1.84 to 2.73.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aarau had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Aarau and 2.00 for Stade Nyonnais.
What was the final score of Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?
Aarau 0-1 Stade Nyonnais in the Switzerland Challenge League on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Aarau 69%, draw 16%, Stade Nyonnais 16%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.