Bellinzona 1-1 Rapperswil-Jona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
2.95
2-3 Goals
44%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
3.5
6+ Goals
10%
14.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 27% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-2.8pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.9pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.1pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapperswil-Jona EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-30% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
253 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 79%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.9 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bellinzona
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Rapperswil-Jona
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 8
30.04.2022 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona 2-2 HT 1-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV1Y
15.08.2020 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-1 HT 1-0 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona İSV1Y
POST-MATCH Bellinzona vs Rapperswil-Jona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bellinzona and Rapperswil-Jona couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 31% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bellinzona and 1.50 for Rapperswil-Jona.

What was the final score of Bellinzona vs Rapperswil-Jona?

Bellinzona 1-1 Rapperswil-Jona in the Switzerland Challenge League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bellinzona vs Rapperswil-Jona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rapperswil-Jona win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Bellinzona 32%, draw 31%, Rapperswil-Jona 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rapperswil-Jona) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rapperswil-Jona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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