Rapperswil-Jona 2-1 Bellinzona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 28 Nov 2025

Rapperswil-Jona
2-1 HT 1-0
Bellinzona
📅28/11/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Switzerland Challenge League – 2025/2026

Rapperswil-Jona vs Bellinzona Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
23%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.25
2-3 Goals
35%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.38
6+ Goals
10%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 32% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
45%
+2.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
23%
Away Win
28%
-5.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rapperswil-Jona v Bellinzona — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rapperswil-Jona EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 32%
+46% / +46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.48/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.33
-40% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
17.0 Crosses 17.6
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Rapperswil-Jona vs Bellinzona Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rapperswil-Jona
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Bellinzona
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.84 xG 0.82
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 0
448 Passes 352
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.09.2025 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-1 HT 0-1 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona İSV2
30.04.2022 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona 2-2 HT 1-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV1Y
15.08.2020 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-1 HT 1-0 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona İSV1Y
POST-MATCH Rapperswil-Jona vs Bellinzona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapperswil-Jona edged past Bellinzona 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rapperswil-Jona as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rapperswil-Jona and 1.33 for Bellinzona.

What was the final score of Rapperswil-Jona vs Bellinzona?

Rapperswil-Jona 2-1 Bellinzona in the Switzerland Challenge League on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rapperswil-Jona vs Bellinzona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rapperswil-Jona win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Rapperswil-Jona 48%, draw 29%, Bellinzona 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rapperswil-Jona) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rapperswil-Jona) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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