Neuchatel Xamax vs Aarau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Neuchatel Xamax v Aarau — Team-Based Signals
Neuchatel Xamax vs Aarau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Neuchatel Xamax 1-2 Aarau — Actual Match Statistics
Aarau edged past Neuchatel Xamax 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 37%) promised a tight game; Aarau found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Neuchatel Xamax had 64% of the ball to Aarau's 36%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 1.53 to 1.26.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aarau led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Neuchatel Xamax and 1.67 for Aarau.
What was the final score of Neuchatel Xamax vs Aarau?
Neuchatel Xamax 1-2 Aarau in the Switzerland Challenge League on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Neuchatel Xamax vs Aarau?
Before kick-off our model rated a Neuchatel Xamax win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Neuchatel Xamax 40%, draw 23%, Aarau 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax) went the other way.