Aarau 2-0 Neuchatel Xamax — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.31
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
2.74
6+ Goals
11%
7.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-8.3pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.6pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+8.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarau EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
2.01/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.24
-10% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
17.2 Crosses 16.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarau
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.35 xG 1.62
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
421 Passes 320
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2024 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-3 HT 1-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
03.08.2024 Aarau Aarau 1-3 HT 1-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
12.04.2024 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 3-1 HT 1-0 Aarau Aarau İSV2
01.03.2024 Aarau Aarau 2-0 HT 1-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
15.12.2023 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 2-1 HT 2-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
06.08.2023 Aarau Aarau 2-3 HT 0-2 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aarau
2-0
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
1.44 xG 0.40
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
282 Passes 299
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 22
6 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aarau vs Neuchatel Xamax
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarau saw off Neuchatel Xamax 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aarau as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Aarau had 47% of the ball to Neuchatel Xamax's 53%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.44 to 0.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neuchatel Xamax led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aarau and 2.00 for Neuchatel Xamax.

What was the final score of Aarau vs Neuchatel Xamax?

Aarau 2-0 Neuchatel Xamax in the Switzerland Challenge League on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarau vs Neuchatel Xamax?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Aarau 50%, draw 22%, Neuchatel Xamax 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarau) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aarau) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSV2 More Switzerland Challenge League
7 Mar 2025
21:30 FC Schaffhausen vs Vaduz Analysis →
21:30 Stade Nyonnais vs Etoile Carouge Analysis →