Stade Nyonnais 0-3 Etoile Carouge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 7 Mar 2025

Stade Nyonnais
0-3 HT 0-3
Etoile Carouge
📅07/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Switzerland Challenge League – 2024/2025

Stade Nyonnais vs Etoile Carouge Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
34%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.24
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.29
6+ Goals
9%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 30% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.2pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.1pp
34%
Away Win
43%
-9.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.5pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stade Nyonnais v Etoile Carouge — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Nyonnais EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 48%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.32/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.84
-5% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +39%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
20.4 Crosses 10.3
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.5

Stade Nyonnais vs Etoile Carouge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Nyonnais
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Etoile Carouge
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.11 xG 1.70
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
185 Passes 455
68% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.10.2024 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 3-1 HT 0-1 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
20.09.2024 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 2-4 HT 1-2 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV2
05.11.2022 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 2-0 HT 1-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV1Y
13.05.2022 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 1-0 HT 0-0 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV1Y
26.02.2022 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 3-2 HT 1-1 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV1Y
04.09.2021 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 2-2 HT 2-1 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV1Y

Stade Nyonnais 0-3 Etoile Carouge — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Nyonnais
0-3
AWAY Etoile Carouge
1.00 xG 0.63
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
405 Passes 335
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 11
10 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Stade Nyonnais vs Etoile Carouge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etoile Carouge cruised past Stade Nyonnais 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Etoile Carouge found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Stade Nyonnais had 53% of the ball to Etoile Carouge's 47%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 1.00 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Etoile Carouge led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stade Nyonnais and 2.17 for Etoile Carouge.

What was the final score of Stade Nyonnais vs Etoile Carouge?

Stade Nyonnais 0-3 Etoile Carouge in the Switzerland Challenge League on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Nyonnais vs Etoile Carouge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Nyonnais win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Stade Nyonnais 36%, draw 30%, Etoile Carouge 34%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Stade Nyonnais), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stade Nyonnais) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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