Stade Nyonnais 2-4 Etoile Carouge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.2pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-3.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.5pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Nyonnais EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-36% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.9 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Nyonnais
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Etoile Carouge
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2022 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 2-0 HT 1-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV1Y
13.05.2022 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 1-0 HT 0-0 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV1Y
26.02.2022 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 3-2 HT 1-1 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV1Y
04.09.2021 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 2-2 HT 2-1 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV1Y
01.05.2021 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 1-1 HT 0-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV1Y
19.08.2020 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 2-0 HT 1-0 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Nyonnais
2-4
AWAY Etoile Carouge
1.34 xG 0.77
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
212 Passes 404
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stade Nyonnais vs Etoile Carouge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etoile Carouge got the better of Stade Nyonnais 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Etoile Carouge found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Stade Nyonnais had 39% of the ball to Etoile Carouge's 61%, shots finished 5-16, expected goals 1.34 to 0.77 — on chances, Stade Nyonnais could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Etoile Carouge led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Stade Nyonnais and 1.50 for Etoile Carouge.

What was the final score of Stade Nyonnais vs Etoile Carouge?

Stade Nyonnais 2-4 Etoile Carouge in the Switzerland Challenge League on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Nyonnais vs Etoile Carouge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Nyonnais win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Stade Nyonnais 35%, draw 30%, Etoile Carouge 35%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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