Thun vs Bellinzona Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Thun v Bellinzona — Team-Based Signals
Thun vs Bellinzona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
Bellinzona
İSV2
0-3
HT 0-1
Thun
İSV2
3-0
HT 2-0
Thun
İSV2
2-0
HT 1-0
Bellinzona
İSV2
Thun 1-2 Bellinzona — Actual Match Statistics
Bellinzona squeezed past Thun 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Thun at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Thun had 52% of the ball to Bellinzona's 48%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 0.85 to 0.97.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thun had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Thun and 0.67 for Bellinzona.
What was the final score of Thun vs Bellinzona?
Thun 1-2 Bellinzona in the Switzerland Challenge League on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Thun vs Bellinzona?
Before kick-off our model rated a Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Thun 50%, draw 24%, Bellinzona 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Thun) went the other way.