FC Schaffhausen 1-2 Neuchatel Xamax — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
33%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.1
Over 2.5
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.09
6+ Goals
10%
9.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 27% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+4.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-5.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.8pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Schaffhausen EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -1%
1.02/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.30
-15% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
263 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
18.4 Crosses 22.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Schaffhausen
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.99 xG 1.27
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
366 Passes 306
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2024 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 1-1 HT 1-1 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
29.03.2024 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
24.11.2023 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 2-2 HT 2-1 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
21.07.2023 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
29.01.2023 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
17.10.2022 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Schaffhausen
1-2
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
1.46 xG 1.28
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
345 Passes 382
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH FC Schaffhausen vs Neuchatel Xamax
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neuchatel Xamax squeezed past FC Schaffhausen 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Neuchatel Xamax made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FC Schaffhausen had 48% of the ball to Neuchatel Xamax's 52%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.46 to 1.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neuchatel Xamax led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Schaffhausen and 1.67 for Neuchatel Xamax.

What was the final score of FC Schaffhausen vs Neuchatel Xamax?

FC Schaffhausen 1-2 Neuchatel Xamax in the Switzerland Challenge League on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Schaffhausen vs Neuchatel Xamax?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Schaffhausen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FC Schaffhausen 40%, draw 27%, Neuchatel Xamax 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Schaffhausen), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Schaffhausen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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