Neuchatel Xamax 2-1 FC Schaffhausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.82
No
59%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.85
6+ Goals
9%
16.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 32% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.9pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.1pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neuchatel Xamax EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Schaffhausen EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
2.16/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.76
+1% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
367 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 72%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
25.1 Crosses 12.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neuchatel Xamax
1W-3D-2L
AWAY FC Schaffhausen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.97 xG 0.82
50% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
324 Passes 334
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 12
30 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.11.2023 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 2-2 HT 2-1 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
21.07.2023 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
29.01.2023 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
17.10.2022 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
29.07.2022 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 2-0 HT 0-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
01.04.2022 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 2-1 HT 0-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neuchatel Xamax
2-1
AWAY FC Schaffhausen
0.61 xG 1.59
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
235 Passes 316
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
9 Box Touches 22
8 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Neuchatel Xamax vs FC Schaffhausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neuchatel Xamax squeezed past FC Schaffhausen 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Neuchatel Xamax as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Neuchatel Xamax had 44% of the ball to FC Schaffhausen's 56%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.61 to 1.59 — on chances, FC Schaffhausen could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Schaffhausen led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Neuchatel Xamax and 1.33 for FC Schaffhausen.

What was the final score of Neuchatel Xamax vs FC Schaffhausen?

Neuchatel Xamax 2-1 FC Schaffhausen in the Switzerland Challenge League on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neuchatel Xamax vs FC Schaffhausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neuchatel Xamax win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Neuchatel Xamax 48%, draw 23%, FC Schaffhausen 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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